21st CENTURY RELIABILITY
With the imminent issue of BS5760 Part 18 the Reliability Case Concept, developed by the MOD, comes of age.
No longer is the development of a ‘fit-for-purpose’ a combination of random chance or slavish adherence to historic practice. It now allows skilled Reliability professionals to assess and understand the risks of failure, then apply appropriate techniques and knowledge to add value to the product by mitigating and eliminating these risks.
This event will allow reliability professionals and managers to gain the inside track on this exciting and value-adding approach and other up to the minute approaches to reliability.
Confirmed programme and speakers are as follows:
9.30 Registration and coffee
10.00 Richard Denning, MOD - Introduction
Richard Denning will open the seminar with an overview of the developments in Reliability in recent years.
10.30 Richard Denning
The dependability case and lessons learnt from introducing it.
Introduction to the Dependability Case
- How to benefit from the Dependability Case
- Pitfalls associated with the Case
- Pitfalls associated with the Case
- Future developments
11.10 Coffee
11.30 John Pearce, Atkins
Reliability Growth and Risk Management
- Lessons learned from a review of Reliability Growth Programmes of Military Armoured Vehicles
- Including the differences between predicted and occurring risks within the programmes
- Risks facing Reliability Growth or Improvement Programmes
- Contractual issues
12.30 Panel Discussion
13.00 Lunch
14.00 Simon Brailsford, Relex
Failure Reporting Analysis and Corrective Action (FRACAS)
14.40 Mike McCarthy, Wilde FEA
Typical Reliability Tools for dependability cases
15.20 Coffee
15.40 Matthew Revie, Strathclyde University
Bayesian Modelling to Support Reliability Management
Useful modelling should support reliability decision-making and hence contribute to the development of a reasoned argument as well as the evidence presented in the dependability case. There is a need for the inference stage of modelling to support synthesis of data from various sources and allow early reliability estimates to be updated in a scientific manner when new data becomes available through life. Bayesian approaches provide one approach to supporting these goals. An outline of different Bayesian approaches will be presented. Key aspects of Bayesian analysis, such as elicitation of structured engineering judgement, will be discussed. Industrial examples will be given to illustrate how Bayesian analysis has supported decision making in practice.
16.30 Panel Discussion
17.00 Close
More details will be added as they become available.
The presenters at this seminar approach the material from a cross-industy background, including rail, MOD and nuclear as well as industry consultants and academic papers. The format of the day will be presentation and delegates will have an opportunity to discuss experiences and share knowledge during question and answer sessions and networking breaks.
The seminar is open to members of the Society and non-members. The standard fee for non-members included a year membership of the Society at 'Associate' level.
If you wish to book a place please complete the booking form below and press the submit button. This will register you for the event. You will then be transferred to the payment page.
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